Examiner News – Friday, August 12, 2011
August 12, 2011 Leave a comment
Weekly Market Outlook “Fixing Europe’s Sovereign Debt Would Thwart a Double Dip.” Thursday’s major rebound by share prices doesn’t mean the worst has passed. Until Europe’s sovereign debt issues have been sufficiently resolved, financial markets will face considerable downside risk. Indeed, another 15% decline by the market value of common stock could hurl the US into recession. Fortunately, the latest slide by jobless claims suggests that a double dip does not yet impend. Whatever you do, don’t discard the Dramamine. “Credit vs. Equity Markets as Signals of Economic Distress.” The corporate bond market has provided a more prescient signal of recessions than equities, reflecting the fact that credit problems have underpinned past downturns, according to a report from Moody’s Analytics. The recent volatility has affected both markets, with the bond sell-off being more pronounced. Looking to the future, we believe that spreads could widen further, providing the US economy with an unwelcome additional headwind.. |